Report published September 9, 2026
Goldman Sachs: AI Funding Needs and Strong Demand Fuel Record Convertible Supply
Goldman Sachs · September 9, 2026
Year-to-date USD convertible bond issuance has reached a record $135 billion, driven heavily by AI-related infrastructure financing needs from both speculative-grade names and mega-cap hyperscalers like Alphabet and Oracle. Swelling demand fueled by elevated implied volatility and tight corporate credit spreads has created favorable borrower terms while providing investors with attractive upside convexity.
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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.YTD USD convertible bond issuance has reached a record $135 billion, with AI-related issuers accounting for an estimated 44% of total supply.
- 2.Hyperscalers like Alphabet ($19 billion) and Oracle ($5 billion) are tapping convertibles to diversify funding and optimize rating-agency leverage metrics alongside massive AI capex pipelines.
- 3.Strong demand is driven by multi-decade high implied volatility boosting conversion option value, Russell 2000 outperformance, and historically tight straight bond spreads.
Table of Contents
- AI Funding Needs and Strong Demand Fuel Record Convertible Supply
- Structural Demand Drivers & Convexity Technicals
- Strong demand leads to better borrowing terms and more supply
- Best Trade Ideas Across Assets
Report data
Exhibit 1: 2026 convertible supply has already surpassed any previous full-year total
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| YTD USD Convertible Bond Issuance Volume | 135 billion USD | Already surpassed any previous full-year total with four months left in the year. |
| AI-related share of USD convertible bond supply | 44% | AI-related borrowers account for nearly half of total convertible issuance. |
| Share of new convertible supply issued with zero coupon | nearly 30% | Elevated level reflecting strong demand and borrower-friendly terms. |
| Average conversion premium in secondary market | 30% | Shrunk from nearly 70% a couple of years ago, increasing delta sensitivity. |
| Convertible index return since April 2025 | 47% | Outperformed straight high yield credit even on a beta-adjusted basis. |
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