Report published September 24, 2026
Exelon Corp. (EXC): Takeaways from Discussion on PJM Reform and Federal Regulatory Priorities
Goldman Sachs · September 24, 2026
Following a discussion with Exelon's VP of Federal Regulatory Affairs, Goldman Sachs reiterates its Sell rating on EXC with a $45 price target. The company is managing data center load growth and ratepayer risks via Transmission Security Agreements while pushing for prompt capacity procurement reforms in PJM.
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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Exelon views PJM's current three-year capacity market structure as inadequate for incentivizing new supply and advocates for a prompt capacity procurement framework.
- 2.To protect existing ratepayers from large-load data center risk, ~40% of Exelon's 11 GW high-probability pipeline is backed by Transmission Security Agreements (TSAs) with $1bn in collateral.
- 3.Goldman Sachs reiterates a Sell rating and a $45 12-month price target on EXC, pointing to persistent policy and regulatory uncertainty around bill inflation and data centers.
Table of Contents
- PJM's current market structure has proven inadequate as a useful supply tool, but is undergoing several constructive reforms.
- Ratios & Valuation
- Growth & Margins (%)
- Price Performance
- Income Statement ($ mn)
- Balance Sheet ($ mn)
- Cash Flow ($ mn)
- Protecting existing ratepayers is key priority while integrating large-load growth.
- Heightened scrutiny around data centers and bill inflation into the midterm elections.
- Valuation and key risks
Report data
GS Forecast — as of September 24, 2026.
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 12-month Price Target | 45.00 USD | Price target for Exelon Corp. based on 14.75x Q5-Q8 P/E multiple |
| Closing Stock Price | 40.20 USD | Price as of 24 Sep 2026 close |
| High-Probability Pipeline | 11 GW | Exelon's high-probability pipeline for data center load |
| TSA-Backed Posted Collateral | 1 USD bn | Posted collateral representing ~40% of Exelon's 11 GW pipeline |
| Exelon Projected Earnings Growth | 6% | Average earnings growth outlook through 2030 |
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