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Report published September 24, 2026

Exelon Corp. (EXC): Takeaways from Discussion on PJM Reform and Federal Regulatory Priorities

Goldman Sachs · September 24, 2026

Following a discussion with Exelon's VP of Federal Regulatory Affairs, Goldman Sachs reiterates its Sell rating on EXC with a $45 price target. The company is managing data center load growth and ratepayer risks via Transmission Security Agreements while pushing for prompt capacity procurement reforms in PJM.

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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Exelon views PJM's current three-year capacity market structure as inadequate for incentivizing new supply and advocates for a prompt capacity procurement framework.
  • 2.To protect existing ratepayers from large-load data center risk, ~40% of Exelon's 11 GW high-probability pipeline is backed by Transmission Security Agreements (TSAs) with $1bn in collateral.
  • 3.Goldman Sachs reiterates a Sell rating and a $45 12-month price target on EXC, pointing to persistent policy and regulatory uncertainty around bill inflation and data centers.

Table of Contents

  • PJM's current market structure has proven inadequate as a useful supply tool, but is undergoing several constructive reforms.
  • Ratios & Valuation
  • Growth & Margins (%)
  • Price Performance
  • Income Statement ($ mn)
  • Balance Sheet ($ mn)
  • Cash Flow ($ mn)
  • Protecting existing ratepayers is key priority while integrating large-load growth.
  • Heightened scrutiny around data centers and bill inflation into the midterm elections.
  • Valuation and key risks

Report data

GS Forecast — as of September 24, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
12-month Price Target45.00 USDPrice target for Exelon Corp. based on 14.75x Q5-Q8 P/E multiple
Closing Stock Price40.20 USDPrice as of 24 Sep 2026 close
High-Probability Pipeline11 GWExelon's high-probability pipeline for data center load
TSA-Backed Posted Collateral1 USD bnPosted collateral representing ~40% of Exelon's 11 GW pipeline
Exelon Projected Earnings Growth6%Average earnings growth outlook through 2030
Source: Goldman Sachs Research; FactSet; Exelon Corp.. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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