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Report published September 1, 2026

Europe Retail: Retail Matters – Adidas and On Lead a Bifurcated Sportswear Market (Goldman Sachs)

Source and citation context

Report date
September 1, 2026
Analysis as of
September 1, 2026

Authors / editors: Richard Edwards (Analyst), Ben Williams (Analyst), Hamish Bogdan (Analyst)

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Sector ReportEquitiesConsumer Discretionary

Goldman Sachs' monthly Retail Matters report analyzes high-frequency alternative data across European retail, finding continued outperformance by Adidas, On, Vinted, and Next amid worsening declines for Chinese aggregators. Goldman Sachs maintains Buy ratings on Inditex, Next, On, and Zalando, and Sell ratings on ABF and H&M.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Sportswear demand remains bifurcated, with Adidas and On outperforming in web traffic and purchase intent while Nike's metrics and China growth soften.
  • 2.Chinese aggregator app MAUs in Europe are deteriorating at an accelerating pace, while Vinted continues strong growth and tops H&M and Inditex in global web traffic.
  • 3.Zara and H&M maintain robust worldwide web traffic growth, though global app MAU growth turned negative YoY for both brands.

Table of Contents

  • Sportswear
  • Apparel
  • Online
  • Valuation
  • Disclosure Appendix

Report data

Exhibit 1: NPI for the major sportswear brands remained bifurcated in July with Adidas leading — as of September 1, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Adidas Price Target180.0 EURNeutral rated with last price of €151.4
Inditex Price Target61.0 EURBuy rated with last price of €58.0
Next Price Target17300 GBpBuy rated with last price of 15,575p
ON Holding Price Target42.0 USDBuy rated with last price of $28.5
Zalando Price Target44.0 EURBuy rated with last price of €24.7
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Richard Edwards · AnalystBen Williams · AnalystHamish Bogdan · Analyst

Reported Data Context

  • Adidas Price Target: 180.0 EUR (12-month forward) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • Inditex Price Target: 61.0 EUR (12-month forward) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • Next Price Target: 17300 GBp (12-month forward) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • ON Holding Price Target: 42.0 USD (12-month forward) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
  • Zalando Price Target: 44.0 EUR (12-month forward) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Securities

JD.LONONHMB.STZALG.DENXT.LAdidas AGPUMG.DEITX.MC

Themes

Sportswear Market BifurcationChinese Fast-Fashion Aggregator Deceleration vs Recommerce GrowthAlternative Data in Retail Analysis

Regions

EuropeGlobalNorth AmericaGermanyUnited KingdomUnited States