Report published September 23, 2026
Euro Area Data Update: Firm Euro Area PMIs and Spanish Trade, Slightly Softer Consumer Confidence – Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs · September 23, 2026
Goldman Sachs nudged its Euro area Q3 GDP tracking estimate to +0.21% qoq following upside surprises in German, French, and area-wide September flash PMIs. End-2026 headline and core inflation nearcasts remained broadly unchanged at 3.72% yoy and 2.62% yoy, respectively.
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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Goldman Sachs' Euro area Q3 GDP tracking estimate rose slightly by 0.01pp to +0.21% qoq, supported by German, French, and Spanish tracking improvements.
- 2.September flash PMIs beat expectations across core economies, with the area-wide composite PMI climbing 1.1pt to 53.1 (a 41-month high), driven by services activity.
- 3.Country-level PMIs showed Germany's composite rising 2.0pt to 53.8 (an 11-month high) and France rising to 51.2 (>2-year high), both boosted by strong services rebounds.
Table of Contents
- Activity
- Inflation
Report data
Exhibit 1: Area-Wide Tracking Estimate At +0.21%qoq
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Euro Area Q3 GDP Tracking Estimate | 0.21 % qoq | Area-wide tracking estimate ticked up following recent data releases |
| Spain Q3 GDP Tracking Estimate | 0.65 % qoq | Up from +0.59% previously following improved July goods trade balance |
| Germany Composite Flash PMI | 53.8 index | Highest level in 11 months, driven by services activity |
| France Composite Flash PMI | 51.2 index | Versus 48.5 in August, reaching highest level in more than two years |
| Euro Area Composite Flash PMI | 53.1 index | Reached highest level in 41 months, supported by services activity |
Reports in this series
Euro Area Data Update is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 23, 2026.
Part of the Euro Area Data Update series — view all 36 editions
Looking for the latest edition? Euro Area Data Update Soft August IP Weakens Growth Momentum in Italy (Oct 9, 2026)
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