Goldman Sachs logo
Goldman Sachs

Report published September 24, 2026

Euro Area Data Update: Data Better in Germany, Mixed in France – Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs · September 24, 2026

Goldman Sachs slightly raised its Euro area Q3 GDP tracking estimate to +0.22% qoq following better German survey and manufacturing data alongside mixed French indicators. Simultaneously, the area-wide end-2026 headline inflation nearcast rose by 0.27pp to +3.98% yoy, while core inflation remained unchanged at +2.62% yoy.

Read the remaining 4 pages

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Euro area-wide Q3 GDP tracking estimate ticked up slightly by 0.01pp to +0.22% qoq.
  • 2.The headline inflation nearcast for end-2026 rose by 0.27pp to +3.98% yoy, driven by weekly Euro area price data and firm PPI readings in Spain, while core was unchanged at +2.62% yoy.
  • 3.German activity data showed improvement, with flash manufacturing sales up +2.0% mom in August and ifo sentiment rising by 0.2sd, pushing Q3 GDP tracking up to +0.06% qoq.

Table of Contents

  • Activity
  • Inflation

Report data

Exhibit 4: A Meaningful Rise in Headline Pressures into Year-End

MetricEstimateContext
Euro area Q3 GDP tracking estimate0.22 % qoqArea-wide tracking estimate ticked up by 0.01pp
Germany Q3 GDP tracking estimate0.06 % qoqTracked up from +0.04% previously
France Q3 GDP tracking estimate0.12 % qoqTracked up from +0.11% previously
Italy Q3 GDP tracking estimate0.11 % qoqCurrent tracking estimate
Spain Q3 GDP tracking estimate0.65 % qoqCurrent tracking estimate
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Euro Area Data Update is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 24, 2026.

Part of the Euro Area Data Update series — view all 36 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Euro Area Data Update Soft August IP Weakens Growth Momentum in Italy (Oct 9, 2026)

  1. Sep 15Euro Area Data Update Mixed ZEW Survey for September
  2. Sep 16Euro Area Data Update Area Wide IP Edged Down in July
  3. Sep 18Euro Area Data Update Softer Italian Construction and Services Data in July
  4. Sep 23Euro Area Data Update Firm Euro Area PMIs and Spanish Trade, Slightly Softer Consumer Confidence

Access the full report

And others from the leading tier 1 banks.

Free account: read previews and a daily allowance of full reports. Pro removes the daily limit.