Report published September 24, 2026
Euro Area Data Update: Data Better in Germany, Mixed in France – Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs · September 24, 2026
Goldman Sachs slightly raised its Euro area Q3 GDP tracking estimate to +0.22% qoq following better German survey and manufacturing data alongside mixed French indicators. Simultaneously, the area-wide end-2026 headline inflation nearcast rose by 0.27pp to +3.98% yoy, while core inflation remained unchanged at +2.62% yoy.
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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Euro area-wide Q3 GDP tracking estimate ticked up slightly by 0.01pp to +0.22% qoq.
- 2.The headline inflation nearcast for end-2026 rose by 0.27pp to +3.98% yoy, driven by weekly Euro area price data and firm PPI readings in Spain, while core was unchanged at +2.62% yoy.
- 3.German activity data showed improvement, with flash manufacturing sales up +2.0% mom in August and ifo sentiment rising by 0.2sd, pushing Q3 GDP tracking up to +0.06% qoq.
Table of Contents
- Activity
- Inflation
Report data
Exhibit 4: A Meaningful Rise in Headline Pressures into Year-End
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Euro area Q3 GDP tracking estimate | 0.22 % qoq | Area-wide tracking estimate ticked up by 0.01pp |
| Germany Q3 GDP tracking estimate | 0.06 % qoq | Tracked up from +0.04% previously |
| France Q3 GDP tracking estimate | 0.12 % qoq | Tracked up from +0.11% previously |
| Italy Q3 GDP tracking estimate | 0.11 % qoq | Current tracking estimate |
| Spain Q3 GDP tracking estimate | 0.65 % qoq | Current tracking estimate |
Reports in this series
Euro Area Data Update is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 24, 2026.
Part of the Euro Area Data Update series — view all 36 editions
Looking for the latest edition? Euro Area Data Update Soft August IP Weakens Growth Momentum in Italy (Oct 9, 2026)
- Sep 15Euro Area Data Update Mixed ZEW Survey for September
- Sep 16Euro Area Data Update Area Wide IP Edged Down in July
- Sep 18Euro Area Data Update Softer Italian Construction and Services Data in July
- Sep 23Euro Area Data Update Firm Euro Area PMIs and Spanish Trade, Slightly Softer Consumer Confidence
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