Report published October 1, 2026
Euro Area Data Update: Area-Wide Unemployment Rate Stable at 6.4% – Goldman Sachs Research
Goldman Sachs · October 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs leaves its Euro area Q3 GDP growth tracking estimate unchanged at +0.22% qoq following stable area-wide unemployment at 6.4% and an upward revision in the September manufacturing output PMI to 53.6. Spain continues to drive growth (+0.67% qoq) while end-2026 headline inflation tracking rose slightly to 3.96% yoy.
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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Goldman Sachs' Euro area Q3 GDP tracking estimate remained unchanged at +0.22% qoq, with Germany at +0.06%, France at +0.09%, Italy at +0.08%, and Spain outperforming at +0.67%.
- 2.The area-wide unemployment rate remained stable at 6.4%, while country-level labour markets showed divergence, including a 0.2pp rise in Italian unemployment to 6.2%.
- 3.The September area-wide manufacturing output PMI was revised up by 0.2pt to 53.6, supported by upward revisions in Germany, France, and Spain.
Table of Contents
- Activity
- Inflation
Report data
Exhibit 3: Area-Wide Unemployment Rate Stable at 6.4%
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Euro Area Q3 GDP Tracking Estimate | 0.22 % qoq | Area-wide quarterly GDP growth tracking estimate |
| Euro Area Unemployment Rate | 6.4% | Area-wide harmonised unemployment rate |
| Euro Area Manufacturing Output PMI | 53.6 index | Revised up from flash estimate, vs. 53.3 in August |
| Spain Q3 GDP Tracking Estimate | 0.67 % qoq | Country tracking estimate for Q3 GDP growth |
| Germany Q3 GDP Tracking Estimate | 0.06 % qoq | Country tracking estimate for Q3 GDP growth |
Reports in this series
Euro Area Data Update is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on October 1, 2026.
Part of the Euro Area Data Update series — view all 36 editions
Looking for the latest edition? Euro Area Data Update Soft August IP Weakens Growth Momentum in Italy (Oct 9, 2026)
- Sep 24Euro Area Data Update Data Better in Germany, Mixed in France
- Sep 25Euro Area Data Update Firm ifo Details
- Sep 29Euro Area Data Update Area Wide GDP Tracking and Inflation Nearcast Broadly Unchanged After Spanish Data
- Sep 30Euro Area Data Update Mixed Activity Data in the EMU4 Leaves GDP Tracking Unchanged
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