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Report published September 3, 2026

China: Unofficial Services PMI Expands in August – Goldman Sachs Analysis

Source and citation context

Report date
September 3, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Yuting Yang (Lead Author), Andrew Tilton (China Economics Team), Hui Shan (China Economics Team), Lisheng Wang (China Economics Team), Xinquan Chen (China Economics Team), Chelsea Song (China Economics Team)

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

China's RatingDog Services PMI rose to 51.4 in August from 50.4 in July, beating Goldman Sachs and consensus forecasts of 50.6. Growth was underpinned by stronger domestic demand and new business, despite a deceleration in export orders and higher input costs.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.RatingDog China Services PMI increased to 51.4 in August from 50.4 in July, topping GS and Bloomberg consensus estimates of 50.6.
  • 2.Domestic activity strengthened via new business and employment, but external demand softened as the new export orders sub-index dropped to 50.3.
  • 3.Input price pressures accelerated due to higher labor, fuel, and procurement costs, though output prices stayed unchanged at 50.8.

Table of Contents

  • Bottom line:
  • Key numbers:
  • Main points:
  • RatingDog services PMI edged up in August, while NBS services PMI remained flat
  • The China Economics Team
  • Disclosure Appendix

Report data

RatingDog services PMI edged up in August, while NBS services PMI remained flat

MetricEstimateContext
RatingDog China Services PMI51.4 indexBeat Goldman Sachs forecast (50.6) and Bloomberg consensus (50.6)
New Business Index52.1 indexDriven by stronger market demand, improved financial conditions, client acquisition, and innovation
Outstanding Business Index50.7 indexEdged down slightly in August
Employment Sub-Index51.0 indexEdged up in August
New Export Orders Sub-Index50.3 indexFell in August
Source: S&P Global. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Yuting Yang · Lead AuthorAndrew Tilton · China Economics TeamHui Shan · China Economics TeamLisheng Wang · China Economics TeamXinquan Chen · China Economics TeamChelsea Song · China Economics Team

Reported Data Context

  • RatingDog China Services PMI: 51.4 index (August 2026) · Source: S&P Global
  • New Business Index: 52.1 index (August 2026) · Source: S&P Global
  • Outstanding Business Index: 50.7 index (August 2026) · Source: S&P Global
  • Employment Sub-Index: 51.0 index (August 2026) · Source: S&P Global
  • New Export Orders Sub-Index: 50.3 index (August 2026) · Source: S&P Global

Themes

China Macroeconomic Recovery and Services MomentumService Sector Cost Pressures

Regions

Asia PacificChina