Report published September 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs: CEE Aggregate PMI Rises Slightly, CAI Broadly Stable (August 2026)
Source and citation context
- Issuer
- Goldman Sachs
- Report date
- September 1, 2026
- Analysis as of
- Not stated in source
Authors / editors: Kevin Daly, Alberto Dario Zanettin (Intern in the CEEMEA economics team), Johan Allen
Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
The average headline manufacturing PMI for CEE-3 rose to 51.2 in August from 50.9 in July, led by a four-year high in Czechia (54.1) against a contraction in Poland (48.3). Aggregate economic activity measured by the CAI remained broadly steady at +3.2% mom annualized amid further declines in input and output price components.
Key Takeaways
- 1.CEE-3 headline manufacturing PMI improved slightly in August to 51.2 from 50.9 in July, though country-level divergences widened.
- 2.Czechia's PMI rose to a four-year high of 54.1, while Poland fell into contraction at 48.3 and Hungary held steady at 51.3.
- 3.Price pressures in the PMI surveys continued to ease sharply, with Czech output price PMIs falling below pre-Iran-war levels.
Table of Contents
- CEE: Aggregate PMI Rises Slightly, CAI Broadly Stable
- Disclosure Appendix
- Reg AC
- Disclosures
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
Report data
Exhibit 1: Aggregate PMI Slightly Improved, While Aggregate CAI Remained Broadly Unchanged
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| CEE-3 Headline Manufacturing PMI | 51.2 index points | Average headline manufacturing PMI across CEE-3 |
| Czechia Manufacturing PMI | 54.1 index points | Highest print in over four years |
| Poland Manufacturing PMI | 48.3 index points | Fell back into contraction territory below 50 |
| Hungary Manufacturing PMI | 51.3 index points | Remained broadly stable above 50 |
| CEE-3 Current Activity Indicator (CAI) | +3.2% % mom annualized | Arithmetic average across CEE-3 |
Reports in this series
CEE: Aggregate PMI Rises Slightly, CAI Broadly Stable is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 1, 2026.
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Authors / Editors
Reported Data Context
- CEE-3 Headline Manufacturing PMI: 51.2 index points (August 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Haver Analytics
- Czechia Manufacturing PMI: 54.1 index points (August 2026) · Source: Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Markit
- Poland Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 index points (August 2026) · Source: Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Markit
- Hungary Manufacturing PMI: 51.3 index points (August 2026) · Source: Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Markit
- CEE-3 Current Activity Indicator (CAI): +3.2% % mom annualized (August 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Themes
Regions
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