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Report published September 1, 2026

Goldman Sachs: CEE Aggregate PMI Rises Slightly, CAI Broadly Stable (August 2026)

Source and citation context

Report date
September 1, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Kevin Daly, Alberto Dario Zanettin (Intern in the CEEMEA economics team), Johan Allen

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Monthly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsIndustrials

The average headline manufacturing PMI for CEE-3 rose to 51.2 in August from 50.9 in July, led by a four-year high in Czechia (54.1) against a contraction in Poland (48.3). Aggregate economic activity measured by the CAI remained broadly steady at +3.2% mom annualized amid further declines in input and output price components.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.CEE-3 headline manufacturing PMI improved slightly in August to 51.2 from 50.9 in July, though country-level divergences widened.
  • 2.Czechia's PMI rose to a four-year high of 54.1, while Poland fell into contraction at 48.3 and Hungary held steady at 51.3.
  • 3.Price pressures in the PMI surveys continued to ease sharply, with Czech output price PMIs falling below pre-Iran-war levels.

Table of Contents

  • CEE: Aggregate PMI Rises Slightly, CAI Broadly Stable
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Reg AC
  • Disclosures
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

Report data

Exhibit 1: Aggregate PMI Slightly Improved, While Aggregate CAI Remained Broadly Unchanged

MetricEstimateContext
CEE-3 Headline Manufacturing PMI51.2 index pointsAverage headline manufacturing PMI across CEE-3
Czechia Manufacturing PMI54.1 index pointsHighest print in over four years
Poland Manufacturing PMI48.3 index pointsFell back into contraction territory below 50
Hungary Manufacturing PMI51.3 index pointsRemained broadly stable above 50
CEE-3 Current Activity Indicator (CAI)+3.2% % mom annualizedArithmetic average across CEE-3
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Haver Analytics; Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Markit; Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

CEE: Aggregate PMI Rises Slightly, CAI Broadly Stable is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 1, 2026.

  1. Aug 3CEE Aggregate PMI Rises Slightly, CAI Broadly Stable

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Authors / Editors

Kevin DalyAlberto Dario Zanettin · Intern in the CEEMEA economics teamJohan Allen

Reported Data Context

  • CEE-3 Headline Manufacturing PMI: 51.2 index points (August 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Haver Analytics
  • Czechia Manufacturing PMI: 54.1 index points (August 2026) · Source: Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Markit
  • Poland Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 index points (August 2026) · Source: Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Markit
  • Hungary Manufacturing PMI: 51.3 index points (August 2026) · Source: Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Markit
  • CEE-3 Current Activity Indicator (CAI): +3.2% % mom annualized (August 2026) · Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Themes

Central and Eastern European Manufacturing DynamicsCEE Disinflation and Producer Price Pressures

Regions

EuropeCzechiaPolandHungary