Report published October 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs: Ahold Delhaize NV: Adjusting Estimates to Reflect Slower Revenue Drivers in All Regions; TP Remains €39, Neutral
Goldman Sachs · October 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs maintains its Neutral rating and €39 12-month price target on Ahold Delhaize NV, trimming 3Q26E and FY26E EPS forecasts to €0.66 and €2.67. Top-line performance faces headwinds from decelerating food inflation and declining PPI in Europe, alongside soft consumer demand and SNAP participation cuts in the US.
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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Goldman Sachs maintains a Neutral rating and €39 price target on Ahold Delhaize, lowering 3Q26E/FY26E underlying diluted EPS estimates to €0.66/€2.67 from €0.71/€2.73.
- 2.Muted European food CPI (-0.7% in Netherlands, +0.2% in Belgium 3Q to date) and declining food PPI point to continued top-line growth pressure across European operations.
- 3.US grocery sales remain weak with LSD volume declines, while SNAP participation headwinds are estimated at ~70bps for 3Q26E ahead of 4Q cost-sharing implementation.
Table of Contents
- Ratios & Valuation
- Growth & Margins (%)
- Price Performance
- Income Statement (€ mn)
- Balance Sheet (€ mn)
- Cash Flow (€ mn)
- What We're Seeing: CPI Muted in Europe, SNAP Participation Headwinds, Multiple Compression
- Financials
- Cashflow and valuation
- Key risks
Report data
Exhibit 7: New vs. Old GSe — as of September 30, 2026.
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 12m Price Target | 39.00 EUR | DCF-derived 12-month target price maintained at €39.00. |
| Share Price | 31.85 EUR | Current closing share price as of 30 September 2026. |
| FY26E Underlying Diluted EPS | 2.67 EUR | Revised down from €2.73 to reflect lower LFLs and higher energy costs. |
| 3Q26E Group Underlying Operating Margin | 3.9% | Lowered by 22bps due to US margin compression and European energy costs. |
| SNAP Headwind to US Sales | 70 bps | Headwind adjusted due to phasing before cost-sharing begins in 4Q. |
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