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Report published August 11, 2026

ADNOC Logistics & Services (ADNOCLS.AD): Goldman Sachs 2Q26 Performance & Growth Outlook

Source and citation context

Report date
August 11, 2026
Analysis as of
August 10, 2026

Authors / editors: Faisal AlAzmeh (Analyst), Roman Reshetnev (Analyst), Fadi Bataineh (Analyst)

Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Sector ReportEquitiesRates CreditEnergy

Goldman Sachs reiterates Buy on ADNOC Logistics & Services (ADNOCLS) following a record 2Q26 quarter driven by high tanker rates. The company raised its FY26 guidance and continues to invest in fleet expansion with $5.7bn in committed capex.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Management raised FY26 guidance for the third time this year, citing strong shipping performance and elevated tanker rates.
  • 2.ADNOC L&S has committed US$5.7bn in capex through 2029 to expand the fleet, prioritizing growth over near-term dividend increases.
  • 3.The company acts as the primary transporter for ADNOC molecules amid Hormuz disruptions, leading to significantly higher tanker freight rates.

Table of Contents

  • Key takeaways from earnings call with management
  • Third consecutive FY 2026 upgrade on Shipping performance; expecting 2H26 IL normalization; 2Q26 review
  • New VLCCs deploy immediately with ADNOC; we see spot as upside to high-margin contracted gas support; Shipping
  • Provisions and softer volumes continue to drag IL YtD performance; volumes normalizing, with 2Q26 underlying LFL EBITDA run-rate nearer to ~US$180mn; Integrated Logistics
  • 2Q26 marine services numbers reflect record quarter; pooling and bunkering drive the uplift; Services
  • Outperformance vs peers continues to reflect AL&S' favorable earnings profile; further re-rating potential on national expansion; Valuation recap
  • Estimate changes, valuation, and risks

Report data

GS Forecast — as of August 10, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
VLCC TCE rates291,145 USD/dayTanker freight rates
Committed Capex5.7 USD billionFleet expansion
Source: Company data. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Faisal AlAzmeh · AnalystRoman Reshetnev · AnalystFadi Bataineh · Analyst

Reported Data Context

  • VLCC TCE rates: 291,145 USD/day (2Q26) · Source: Company data
  • Committed Capex: 5.7 USD billion (to 2029) · Source: Company data

Securities

ADNOCLS.AD

Themes

Energy Infrastructure GrowthGeopolitical Logistics Impact

Regions

Middle EastUnited Arab Emirates