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Fred Alger Management, LLC

Report published August 24, 2026

Booked, But Not Built Yet: Hyperscaler Cloud Backlog Outpaces CapEx Growth

Source and citation context

Report date
August 24, 2026
Analysis as of
August 24, 2026

Finvaulta summarizes Fred Alger Management, LLC's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Sector ReportEquitiesCommunication ServicesConsumer Discretionary

The aggregate cloud backlog for Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft has surged past $1.6 trillion in mid-2026, growing 150% year-over-year and outpacing CapEx growth of 77%. This widening spread indicates that the ongoing AI infrastructure buildout is backed by solid customer demand rather than speculative overbuilding.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Aggregate cloud services backlog for Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft expanded by over $1.2 trillion from ~ $400 billion in 2023 to more than $1.6 trillion in mid-2026.
  • 2.Cloud backlog grew over 150% over the last 12 months, significantly outpacing the 77% growth in trailing-twelve-month CapEx, signaling that AI capacity additions remain demand-driven rather than speculative.
  • 3.Enablers across semiconductors, networking, power, cooling, and infrastructure software stand to benefit from a durable multi-year AI investment cycle.

Table of Contents

  • Alger On The Money
  • Booked, But Not Built Yet
  • Large Cloud Service Providers' Backlog vs. Capital Expenditures (in Billions)
  • Risk Disclosures
  • Important Information for US Investors
  • Important Information for UK and EU Investors
  • Important information for Investors in Israel

Report data

Large Cloud Service Providers' Backlog vs. Capital Expenditures (in Billions) — as of August 24, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Aggregate Cloud Services Backlog (Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft)1.6 USD TrillionAggregate backlog representing contracted cloud demand not yet recognized as revenue.
Trailing Twelve Months Capital Expenditures (Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft)400 USD BillionAnnual capital expenditures on cloud and AI data center capacity.
12-Month Cloud Services Backlog Growth150%Growth rate of contracted cloud backlog across Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft.
12-Month Hyperscaler CapEx Growth77%Growth rate of capital expenditures across Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft.
Source: Company filings, FactSet, Alger estimates. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Alger On The Money is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 24, 2026.

  1. Aug 1AOM Where Prompts End and Work Begins

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Reported Data Context

  • Aggregate Cloud Services Backlog (Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft): 1.6 USD Trillion (Mid-2026) · Source: Company filings, FactSet, Alger estimates
  • Trailing Twelve Months Capital Expenditures (Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft): 400 USD Billion (Mid-2026) · Source: Company filings, FactSet, Alger estimates
  • 12-Month Cloud Services Backlog Growth: 150 percent (Trailing 12 Months to Mid-2026) · Source: Company filings, FactSet, Alger estimates
  • 12-Month Hyperscaler CapEx Growth: 77 percent (Trailing 12 Months to Mid-2026) · Source: Company filings, FactSet, Alger estimates

Securities

GOOGLMSFTAMZN

Themes

Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure BuildoutCloud Services Backlog vs. Hyperscaler CapEx

Regions

North AmericaUnited States