Report published September 27, 2026
Chart Outlook: Edition 35 – Global Sovereign Yields & Equity Correction Risks
FinChartOutlook GmbH · September 27, 2026
Rolf Bertschi's technical chart outlook assesses critical support and resistance thresholds across global equities, government bonds, currencies, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. The primary risk is a macro transition from Reflation to Inflation driven by surging 10-year sovereign bond yields testing 5.0%–5.3%.
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Finvaulta summarizes FinChartOutlook GmbH's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Rising sovereign yields pose an accelerating risk of transitioning the market cycle from Reflation to Inflation, with 5.0% to 5.3% on the 20-Country 10-Year Yield Composite Index serving as a major danger threshold.
- 2.Global equal-weight equities have entered a correction phase and risk triggering major multi-month SELL signals if the MSCI ACWI Equal Weight Index breaches 4636–4628 or 4490.
- 3.US equities show relative strength led by tech, with the S&P 500 targeting 8000–8100, though failure to hold 7580–7450 would establish a bearish reversal heading into 2027.
Table of Contents
- GLOBAL EQUITIES – MSCI ACWI World Equal Weight Index (.MIWD0000EPUS)
- GLOBAL EQUITIES – MSCI World Information Technology Index (.MIWOOIT00PUS)
- GLOBAL EQUITIES – Global Stock Market Indices
- GLOBAL FIXED INCOME – 20-Country 10-Year Yield Composite Index
- GLOBAL FIXED INCOME – Global 10-Year Yields (sorted by country)
- WORLD – Economic and Financial Market Seasonality Model
- SWISS EQUITIES – Swiss Market Index SMI (.SSMI)
- SWISS FIXED INCOME – Swiss 10-year Conf Yield (CH10YT=RR)
- SWISS EQUITIES – Swiss Market Index Constituent Stocks
- SWISS EQUITIES – Selected Mid- and Small Cap Stocks
- GERMAN EQUITIES – DAX Index (.GDAXI)
- GERMAN EQUITIES – Selected DAX Constituent Stocks
- US EQUITIES – S&P 500 Index (.SPX)
- US FIXED INCOME – US 10-Year T-Note Yield (US10YT=RRPS)
- COMMODITIES – Gold per Ounce Spot in US dollar (XAU=)
- COMMODITIES – Silver Spot in US dollar (XAG=)
- FOREX – The trend of the Swiss franc against 24 currencies
- FOREX – Swiss franc per EURO (EURCHF=)
- CRYPTO CURRENCIES
Report data
GLOBAL FIXED INCOME – 20-Country 10-Year Yield Composite Index
| Metric | Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| MSCI ACWI World Equal Weight Index Low | 4658 index points | Fell within the critical support zone of 4665-4637. |
| MSCI World Information Technology Index Price | 1259 index points | Reached a new high marginally above the 1256 level reached on June 3. |
| US 10-Year Government Bond Yield | 5.1670% | Yield remains in an uptrend with next resistance at 5.35% and targets at 5.70% or 6.80%. |
| Swiss 10-Year Confederation Bond Yield | 0.6540% | Testing the long-term resistance zone between 0.664% and 0.727%. |
| S&P 500 Index Price | 7743.41 index points | SPX is extending rally from June low towards resistance levels at 7820-7800 or 8000-8100. |
Reports in this series
Bertschi's Chart Outlook is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 27, 2026.
Part of the Bertschi's Chart Outlook series — view all 4 editions
Looking for the latest edition? ROLFBERTSCHIS CHARTOUTLOOK 20261004 36 (Oct 4, 2026)
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