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Report published August 24, 2026

Central Banks, AI Earnings and Oil in Focus – Eastspring Investments

Source and citation context

Report date
August 24, 2026
Analysis as of
August 21, 2026

Authors / editors: Vis Nayar (Chief Investment Officer), Ray Farris (Chief Economist), Viola Wang (Economist)

Finvaulta summarizes Eastspring Investments's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXEnergyInformation Technology

Central bank tightening, Nvidia's earnings report, and Middle East energy supply risks dominate the market outlook this week. Eastspring anticipates 25bps rate hikes from the BoK and BSP and notes potential upside risks to energy prices into Q4 as supply buffers expire.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Central banks in Asia (Bank of Korea, BSP) are expected to hike rates by 25bps this week, while the Fed's Jackson Hole appearance will be critical for signaling tightening intent to contain US inflation.
  • 2.The USD's failure to rally despite hawkish rate repricing suggests Q1 2025 may have marked the peak of the dollar cycle, opening the door for an Asian currency recovery over the next year.
  • 3.Nvidia earnings will serve as a key test for the AI capex spending outlook and hardware earnings across Asia.

Table of Contents

  • Central banks, AI earnings and oil in focus
  • Central banks are likely to tighten policy
  • AI capex on show
  • Energy supply and prices remain key risks
  • Market Review
  • Asset Performance
  • Market Data
  • Disclaimer
  • Sources

Report data

Market Data — as of August 21, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Bank of Korea Policy Rate Hike Expectation25 bpsExpected hike responding to inflation and household debt.
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Policy Rate Hike Expectation25 bpsExpected hike motivated by higher inflation and currency weakness.
MSCI AC World Index 1-Week Change-0.91%Weekly global equity market performance.
Gold 1-Week Performance4.6%Gold weekly performance.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield4.74%Benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield.
Source: Refinitiv. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

CIO Views – Weekly Bulletin is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 24, 2026.

Part of the CIO Views – Weekly Bulletin series — view all 3 editions

  1. Jun 8cio-views-june-week-22
  2. Aug 10investment bulletin weekly week 32

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Authors / Editors

Vis Nayar · Chief Investment OfficerRay Farris · Chief EconomistViola Wang · Economist

Reported Data Context

  • Bank of Korea Policy Rate Hike Expectation: 25 bps (Week 34 2026)
  • Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Policy Rate Hike Expectation: 25 bps (Week 34 2026)
  • MSCI AC World Index 1-Week Change: -0.91 % (Week ended 21 August 2026) · Source: Refinitiv
  • Gold 1-Week Performance: 4.6 % (Week ended 21 August 2026) · Source: Refinitiv
  • US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.74 % (As of 21 August 2026) · Source: Refinitiv

Securities

SPXDXYNVDAMSCI AC World IndexCCMPUS 10 Year Treasury Yield

Themes

Central Bank Policy TighteningAI Hardware and Infrastructure Capex DemandGeopolitical Energy Supply Risks and SanctionsUS Dollar Peak and Asian FX Recovery

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaMiddle EastUnited StatesSouth KoreaPhilippines