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Report published August 30, 2026

Deutsche Bank Weekly Update: Affirm Earnings Outperformance, PayPal M&A Shifts & Dana Point Tech Conference Recap

Source and citation context

Report date
August 30, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Nate Svensson, CFA, Hersh Shintre, CFA, Paul Tomaszewski

Finvaulta summarizes Deutsche Bank's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Weekly UpdateEquitiesFinancialsInformation Technology

Deutsche Bank recaps takeaways from its 2026 Tech Conference in Dana Point alongside sector developments. Highlights include Affirm's earnings beat and raised EPS estimates, as well as the termination of Stripe and Advent's reported pursuit of PayPal.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Affirm exceeded expectations across GMV, revenue, and profitability in 4Q26 results, showing healthy consumer spending and credit trends in contrast to Klarna's recent results.
  • 2.Stripe and Advent reportedly abandoned their $50B pursuit of PayPal, removing a potential upside catalyst and returning market focus to standalone execution and turnaround priorities.
  • 3.Deutsche Bank raised Affirm's FY27/FY28/FY29 adjusted EPS estimates to $4.72, $5.80, and $7.15 following strong earnings.

Table of Contents

  • Postcard from Dana Point
  • Recently Published Research
  • What We Are Reading
  • Model Updates
  • Appendix 1

Report data

Figure 1: WTD, QTD, and YTD Performance

MetricEstimateContext
AFRM FY27 Adj. EPS Estimate4.72 USDRaised from prior Deutsche Bank estimate of $4.41 following 4Q26 earnings.
AFRM FY27 GMV Guidance64.0 USD BillionManagement guidance framework of >$64.0bn GMV (>27% y/y growth).
Payments & Fintech Average WTD Return-1.0%Weekly performance of Payments & Fintech peer group.
IT Services Average WTD Return2.5%Weekly performance of IT Services peer group.
Source: Deutsche Bank Estimates; Company Documents; Bloomberg Finance LP. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Authors / Editors

Nate Svensson, CFAHersh Shintre, CFAPaul Tomaszewski

Reported Data Context

  • AFRM FY27 Adj. EPS Estimate: 4.72 USD (FY27) · Source: Deutsche Bank Estimates
  • AFRM FY27 GMV Guidance: 64.0 USD Billion (FY27) · Source: Company Documents
  • Payments & Fintech Average WTD Return: -1.0 % (WTD) · Source: Bloomberg Finance LP
  • IT Services Average WTD Return: 2.5 % (WTD) · Source: Bloomberg Finance LP

Securities

SPXAFRMPYPLKLARCPAYACNWEX

Themes

Fintech & BNPL MomentumPayments M&A and Strategic RestructuringAI Impact on IT Services

Regions

North AmericaUnited States