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Report published September 28, 2026

SpaceX: Got Compute? – Deutsche Bank Equity Research Report

Deutsche Bank · September 28, 2026

Deutsche Bank maintains a Buy rating on SpaceX with a $235 price target following an update on its AI compute buildout. SpaceX is poised to reach ~2.3 GW of compute exiting November 2026 and ~2.7 GW in early 2027, backed by $54.5bn in annualized neocloud contract run-rate revenue.

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Finvaulta summarizes Deutsche Bank's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.SpaceX is rapidly expanding AI compute capacity, projecting ~2.3 GW by exiting November 2026 and ~2.7 GW in early 2027 using NVIDIA GB300 clusters.
  • 2.Five signed neocloud customer agreements generate an estimated $54.5bn on an annualized revenue run-rate basis across 1.2–1.4 GW of compute.
  • 3.To support its massive compute expansion, SpaceX is constructing a 3.3 GWh grid-connected battery pack bank, the largest in the United States.

Table of Contents

  • Got compute?
  • Valuation & Risks

Report data

Figure 2: Neocloud deals — as of September 25, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Stock Price148.68 USDSpaceX closing price as of 25 Sep 2026
Target Price235.00 USDDeutsche Bank 12-month target price on SpaceX
Compute Capacity Exit 2Q261.4 GWSpaceX exit compute capacity at 2Q26
Projected Compute Capacity Exit Nov 20262.3 GWEstimated compute capacity exiting November 2026
Projected Compute Capacity Early 20272.7 GWEstimated compute capacity in early 2027 across Colossus I, II, and Minihard sites
Source: Local exchanges via Reuters, Bloomberg; Deutsche Bank Research; Company reports. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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