Deutsche Bank logo
Deutsche Bank

Report published October 1, 2026

September Sticks to the Seasonal Script: Deutsche Bank Asset Performance Review

Deutsche Bank · October 1, 2026

Q3 saw significant inflationary impulses and central bank rate hikes trigger a global bond sell-off and a mild September pullback in equities. However, resilient growth and earnings kept overall quarterly equity returns positive ahead of the seasonally strong fourth quarter.

Read the remaining 1 page

Finvaulta summarizes Deutsche Bank's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global bonds experienced a sharp sell-off in Q3 driven by resurging inflation impulses and central bank rate hikes, with the US 10-year Treasury yield jumping 53 bps in September alone.
  • 2.Commodities rallied significantly during Q3, led by Brent crude (+42.0%) and WTI (+30.1%) amid Middle East conflict escalation, alongside substantial surges in agricultural commodities.
  • 3.Equities showed resilience across Q3 (+2.3% for S&P 500) supported by economic growth and the Magnificent 7 (+11.1%), despite a slight seasonal pullback in September (-0.3%) and weakness in semiconductors.

Report data

Figure 1: Total Return Performance (USD terms) of selected global assets in Q3 and September ranked by Q3 performance

MetricEstimateContext
Brent Crude Total/Spot Return42.0%Jumped on re-escalation in Iran conflict and MoU breakdown
WTI Crude Total/Spot Return30.1%Driven higher by geopolitical developments
Bloomberg Agriculture Spot Index Return13.1%Biggest quarterly jump since 2022
US 10yr Treasury Yield Change53 bpsBiggest monthly jump in 4 years and 7th consecutive monthly increase
Euro Sovereigns Total Return-4.4%Worst quarterly performance since 2022
Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP; Bloomberg Finance LP. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Chart of the Day is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on October 1, 2026.

Part of the Chart of the Day series — view all 9 editions

Looking for the latest edition? DB CoTD Keep Calm and Muddle On (Oct 6, 2026)

  1. Sep 16DB CotD 15 in 70 years Sept 16
  2. Sep 16DB CoTD: 15 in 70 years....
  3. Sep 24DB CoTD: What If?
  4. Sep 29DB CoTD: A window before winter?

Access the full report

And others from the leading tier 1 banks.

Free account: read previews and a daily allowance of full reports. Pro removes the daily limit.