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Report published August 28, 2026

DBS The Week Ahead: Asia Central Bank Watch, India GDP & Regional Trade Forecasts (Aug 2026)

Source and citation context

Report date
August 28, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Taimur Baig (Chief Economist), Nathan Chow (Senior Economist)

Finvaulta summarizes DBS Group Research's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Weekly UpdateEquitiesFXMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

DBS previews the coming week's macro data and central bank meetings across Asia, projecting Bank Negara Malaysia to maintain its policy rate at 2.75%. Key economic prints include resilient export figures from South Korea and Vietnam, resilient 1QFY27 GDP in India, and mixed regional inflation updates.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is expected to keep its Overnight Policy Rate unchanged at 2.75% as inflation remains contained and economic growth holds near 5%.
  • 2.India's 1QFY27 GDP is expected to demonstrate resilience against geopolitical shocks, supported by services sector strength and consumption gauges.
  • 3.South Korea and Vietnam continue to see robust export growth driven by tech/AI demand, although South Korea's AI supercycle export growth may be past its peak.

Table of Contents

  • KEY DATA RELEASES AND EVENTS NEXT WEEK
  • KEY FORECASTS FOR THE COMING WEEK
  • CENTRAL BANK MEETINGS
  • FORTHCOMING DATA RELEASES
  • GROWTH, INFLATION, POLICY RATES & FX FORECASTS
  • POLICY INTEREST RATES, EOP
  • EXCHANGE RATES, EOP
  • INTEREST RATE FORECASTS
  • ECONOMICS & STRATEGY

Report data

KEY FORECASTS FOR THE COMING WEEK

MetricEstimateContext
Overnight Policy Rate (BNM)2.75%DBS forecast for Bank Negara Malaysia policy meeting
India GDP Growth (2Q)7.5 % y/yDBS forecast vs 7.8% previous
South Korea Exports (Aug)64.4 % y/yDBS forecast vs 62.8% y/y previous
US Nonfarm Payrolls Change50 kDBS forecast for US change in nonfarm payrolls vs -23k previous
Vietnam Exports (Aug)27.0 % y/yDBS forecast vs 25.0% y/y previous
Source: DBS Group Research. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

The Week Ahead is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 28, 2026.

Part of the The Week Ahead series — view all 4 editions

  1. May 10260508 insights week ahead
  2. May 25content article pdf AIO 052026 260522 insights week ahead
  3. Jun 6content article pdf AIO 062026 260605 insights week ahead

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Authors / Editors

Taimur Baig · Chief EconomistNathan Chow · Senior Economist

Reported Data Context

  • Overnight Policy Rate (BNM): 2.75 % (Sep 3, 2026) · Source: DBS Group Research
  • India GDP Growth (2Q): 7.5 % y/y (2Q) · Source: DBS Group Research
  • South Korea Exports (Aug): 64.4 % y/y (August 2026) · Source: DBS Group Research
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Change: 50 k (August 2026) · Source: DBS Group Research
  • Vietnam Exports (Aug): 27.0 % y/y (August 2026) · Source: DBS Group Research

Securities

KOSPI

Themes

Asian Central Bank Policy TrajectoriesAI Hardware Supercycle and Regional Trade MomentumInflation Convergence and Energy Price Spillover

Regions

Asia PacificGlobalNorth AmericaMalaysiaIndiaSouth Korea