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Curvature Securities

Report published August 26, 2026

Repo Market Commentary: Thinking About Rethinking The Fed Balance Sheet

Source and citation context

Report date
August 26, 2026
Analysis as of
August 26, 2026

Authors / editors: Scott E.D. Skyrm

Finvaulta summarizes Curvature Securities's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFinancials

Curvature Securities reviews daily repo market rate levels and discusses the Federal Reserve's objective to shrink its SOMA balance sheet from $6.37 trillion down to $3 trillion. General Collateral repo closed at 3.72% on August 26, 2026, alongside an EFFR rate of 3.630%.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Fed Chair Warsh aims to reduce the Federal Reserve's SOMA balance sheet from $6.37 trillion to $3 trillion.
  • 2.The Fed has halted balance sheet expansion by ending Reserve Management Purchases (RMPs), with further steps potentially coming at the next FOMC meeting.
  • 3.General Collateral repo traded between 3.63% and 3.72% on August 26, closing at 3.72%, while Fed Funds/EFFR averaged 3.630% and SOFR stood at 3.660%.

Table of Contents

  • Repo Market Commentary
  • Thinking About Rethinking The Balance Sheet
  • 2 Year: Overnight Rates
  • 3 Year: Overnight Rates
  • 5 Year: Overnight Rates
  • 10 Year: Overnight Rates
  • Overnight Rates: GC, SOFR, Fed Funds
  • MBS/GC Spread
  • GC: Open, High, Low, Close
  • GC/Fed Funds Spread
  • RRP Volume
  • 20 Year: Overnight Rates

Report data

Repo Market Commentary Rate Table — as of August 26, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
SOMA Portfolio Size6.37 USD TrillionCurrent size of the Federal Reserve SOMA portfolio as of last week.
Target SOMA Portfolio Size3.0 USD TrillionTarget balance sheet level under Fed Chair Warsh.
General Collateral Repo Close3.72%Closing General Collateral repo rate.
Fed Funds / EFFR 10:00 AM Average3.63%Effective Federal Funds Rate average at 10:00 AM.
SOFR (T-1)3.66%Secured Overnight Financing Rate for previous business day.
Source: Federal Reserve. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Repo Market Commentary is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 26, 2026.

Part of the Repo Market Commentary series — view all 3 editions

Looking for the latest edition? RMC (Aug 28, 2026)

  1. Aug 17RMC

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Authors / Editors

Scott E.D. Skyrm

Reported Data Context

  • SOMA Portfolio Size: 6.37 USD Trillion (2026-08) · Source: Federal Reserve
  • General Collateral Repo Close: 3.72 % (2026-08-26)
  • Fed Funds / EFFR 10:00 AM Average: 3.63 % (2026-08-26)
  • SOFR (T-1): 3.66 % (2026-08-25)

Securities

US 10 Year TreasuryUS 2 Year TreasuryUS 5 Year Treasury

Themes

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet & Quantitative TighteningMoney Market Liquidity and Repo Dynamics

Regions

North AmericaUnited States