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Report published September 28, 2026

Cboe Macro Volatility Digest: Equities Unfazed by Spike in Rates Volatility

Cboe · September 28, 2026

US bond yields surged to two-decade highs, triggering a spike in rates and corporate credit volatility while equity volatility stayed subdued near 1-year lows. SPX skew dropped to the 5th percentile as investors favored upside call exposure over downside protection.

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Finvaulta summarizes Cboe's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Cross-asset volatility diverges sharply as US bond yields reach multi-decade highs, driving rates vol near a 1-year high while equity volatility (VIX) sits near 1-year lows.
  • 2.Single-stock volatility and dispersion are rising relative to index volatility ahead of Q3 earnings, supported by higher rates.
  • 3.Equity sentiment displays extreme bullishness with SPX 1M skew in the 5th percentile and roughly 40% of top 100 stocks trading with inverted call skew.

Table of Contents

  • Weekly Market Commentary
  • Equities Unfazed by Spike in Rates Volatility
  • Cross-Asset Volatility Monitor
  • Cross-Asset Volatility Snapshot (10Y Lookback)
  • Cross-Asset Correlation Matrix (1M)
  • Cross-Asset Correlation Analysis
  • Macro Equity Volatility
  • VIX Index Volatility
  • US Index Volatility

Report data

Exhibit 2: Macro Equity Volatility Snapshot

MetricEstimateContext
VIX Index14.9%Equity vol ended the week almost unchanged despite soaring bond yields.
MOVE Index96 bps volSurging over 15 bps to near a 1-year high as US bond yields hit two-decade highs.
VIXEQSM Index38.5%Single stock volatility increased further ahead of Q3 earnings.
Spread between VIXEQ and VIX Index23.5%Reflects rising single stock volatility vs index volatility ahead of Q3 earnings.
SPX 1M Skew Percentile5 percentileSPX 1M skew is trading in the 5th percentile low as investors rotate out of hedges and into upside calls.
Source: Cboe. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Macro Volatility Digest is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 28, 2026.

Part of the Macro Volatility Digest series — view all 9 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Macro Volatility Digest 2026 1005 u1 (Oct 5, 2026)

  1. Jun 15Macro Volatility Digest 2026 0615
  2. Jun 29Macro Volatility Digest 2026 0629a
  3. Aug 17Macro Volatility Digest 2026 0817a u1
  4. Sep 21Macro Volatility Digest Sep21

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