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Report published September 25, 2026

Follow the Flow: Headwinds Ahead – Bank of America Weekly Flow Report

Bank of America · September 25, 2026

Escalating rates uncertainty is weighing on bond fund flows, as high-yield, sovereign, and money market funds all posted weekly outflows. While high-grade funds recorded modest net inflows, elevated rates volatility presents a clear headwind for credit inflows going forward.

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Finvaulta summarizes Bank of America's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Rates volatility has escalated to around 90pts (SMOVEU3M index), creating significant headwinds for flows into credit and other risk assets.
  • 2.High-grade funds returned to net inflows ($388mn) driven by mid- and long-term funds, while short-term funds snapped a six-week inflow streak.
  • 3.High-yield funds logged their third straight week of outflows (-$340mn), led by outflows from globally-focussed European-domiciled funds.

Table of Contents

  • Rates uncertainty brings outflows
  • Over the past week...
  • Flow chartbook
  • Weekly Flow Distributions per asset class
  • Weekly and Monthly flows per asset class
  • Weekly ETF flows
  • Cumulative flows (% of AUM)
  • HY flows by fund focus

Report data

Exhibit 1: Elevated uncertainty in rates is having a notable impact on flows into credit funds — as of September 23, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
Rates Volatility (SMOVEU3M)90.0 pointsLevel of interest rate volatility viewed as unsupportive for credit fund inflows
European HY Fund Flows-340.0 USD millionsWeekly net outflows from European retail high-yield funds
European IG Fund Flows388.0 USD millionsWeekly net inflows into European investment grade funds
Global EM Debt Fund Flows4740.0 USD millionsWeekly net inflows extending positive run to eight consecutive weeks
Money Market Fund Flows-3309.0 USD millionsSecond consecutive week of net outflows from money market funds
Source: EPFR Global. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Follow The Flow is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on September 25, 2026.

Part of the Follow The Flow series — view all 6 editions

Looking for the latest edition? BofA Follow The Flow Seeking shelter 2026 10 09 (Oct 9, 2026)

  1. Aug 28Follow The Flow Strong summer technicals
  2. Sep 4Follow The Flow HY inflows keep rolling as credit demand stays firm
  3. Sep 18Follow The Flow The streak is over

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