FX Model Trend & Strategy

Latest edition · August 28, 2026

FXModelTrendStrategy 20260828 en

Bank J. Safra Sarasin's FX Model Trend & Strategy outlines intraday convictions favoring long precious metals (XAG, XAU), NOK, and ZAR against JPY and SEK. It also provides medium-term (1–7 weeks) and long-term (2–12 months) quantitative trend targets and stops across major currency pairs.

In this daily update from Bank J. Safra Sarasin's trading department, the intraday view shows highest bullish conviction for Silver (XAG), Gold (XAU), NOK, ZAR, NZD, EUR, and AUD, alongside bearish stances on SEK and JPY. Recommended daily trades are BUY XAG/USD, BUY XAU/USD, BUY NOK/JPY, and BUY ZAR/SEK. The forex quantitative model tracks medium-term and long-term trends, setting specific price targets and stop levels for ten key pairs including EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/PLN, USD/MXN, EUR/CHF, and USD/CNH.

Key takeaways from the latest edition

• 1.Top intraday bullish currency/metal convictions are XAG, XAU, NOK, ZAR, NZD, EUR, and AUD, while SEK and JPY are bearish.
• 2.Favored trades for the day are long positions in XAG/USD, XAU/USD, NOK/JPY, and ZAR/SEK.
• 3.Medium-term model trends project bullish trajectories for EUR/USD (target 1.1711), GBP/USD (target 1.3676), AUD/USD (target 0.7205), and EUR/CHF (target 0.9411).

What this series covers

• FX Model Trend & Strategy
• Important Information
• Hong Kong
• Important Notice
• Derivatives Warning
• Complex Product Warning
• Hong Kong Selling Restriction
• Singapore:
• Important Notice
• Derivatives Warning
• Singapore Selling Restriction

Edition archive

• FXModelTrendStrategy 20260828 en

  August 28, 2026

• FXModelTrendStrategy 20260826 en

  August 26, 2026

• FXModelTrendStrategy 20260825 en

  August 25, 2026

• FXModelTrendStrategy 20260817 en

  August 17, 2026