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Bank J. Safra Sarasin

Report published August 28, 2026

FX Daily Commentary: Jackson Hole Anticipation, Fed Rate Prospects, and EURUSD Outlook

Source and citation context

Report date
August 28, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Clarine Liew

Finvaulta summarizes Bank J. Safra Sarasin's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateCommoditiesFXMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergy

FX markets were largely quiet ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium, with the Bloomberg Dollar Index holding steady at 1194.32 and EURUSD hovering at 1.1653. Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials and Middle East tensions supported higher yields and lifted Brent crude by 2.12%.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US initial jobless claims fell to 203,000 while Fed officials Collins and Hammack signaled potential willingness for further rate hikes if inflation fails to cool.
  • 2.The Bloomberg Dollar Index was steady at 1194.32 ahead of Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole address; EURUSD holds a neutral bias between 1.1565 support and 1.1710 resistance.
  • 3.Brent crude climbed 2.12% following reports that US President Trump is not interested in returning to the Iran memorandum of understanding terms.

Table of Contents

  • Suspense
  • Important Legal Information
  • Important Notice
  • Singapore

Report data

Foreign Exchange

MetricEstimateContext
US Initial Jobless Claims203000.0 claimsUS labor market data reported overnight
Bloomberg Dollar Index (BBDXY) Close1194.32 index pointsIndicative foreign exchange closing level
Brent Crude Price Change2.12%Settlement price change following Trump administration comments on Iran MoU
EUR/USD Close1.1653 rateIndicative FX spot close
Source: Bloomberg. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

FX Daily Commentary is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 28, 2026.

Part of the FX Daily Commentary series — view all 5 editions

  1. Jul 21fx daily commentary
  2. Aug 17fx daily commentary
  3. Aug 25fx daily commentary
  4. Aug 26fx daily commentary

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Authors / Editors

Clarine Liew

Reported Data Context

  • US Initial Jobless Claims: 203000.0 claims (Week ending August 22, 2026)
  • Bloomberg Dollar Index (BBDXY) Close: 1194.32 index points (2026-08-27) · Source: Bloomberg
  • Brent Crude Price Change: 2.12 % (2026-08-27) · Source: Bloomberg
  • EUR/USD Close: 1.1653 rate (2026-08-27) · Source: Bloomberg

Securities

EURUSDBrent Crude OilBBDXYWTI

Themes

Central Bank Policy and Inflation ExpectationsGeopolitical Impact on Energy Markets

Regions

North AmericaEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesIranCanada