Bank J. Safra Sarasin logo
Bank J. Safra Sarasin

Report published August 25, 2026

Bank J. Safra Sarasin: Emerging Markets Morning Pulse (25 August 2026)

Source and citation context

Report date
August 25, 2026
Analysis as of
August 25, 2026

Authors / editors: Mischa Kratzer (Trader), James Kalbermatter (Trader), Mateus Bernardo (Trader)

Finvaulta summarizes Bank J. Safra Sarasin's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Staples

Global EM credit trading opened mixed in light volume as supporting US Treasury prices offset softer oil and equity sentiment. Key single-name developments include Moody's upgrading Pakistan, Braskem advancing on debt restructuring, and Polish lender PKO downsizing its primary bond issuance.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global emerging market credit started the week mixed in light trading, as a US Treasury rally supported cash prices but softer equities and oil subdued risk sentiment.
  • 2.Pakistan sovereign bonds rallied following an upgrade to B3 from Caa1 by Moody's, while Turkish corporate Vestel fell another 2 to 3 points post consent solicitation.
  • 3.Braskem bonds rallied after filing for an out-of-court debt restructuring, whereas Brazilian high yield remains volatile ahead of domestic elections with heavy selling in Natura.

Table of Contents

  • Rates
  • Equities
  • FX
  • Oil
  • Trader Comment MENA/Turkey/Africa (Mischa Kratzer)
  • Trader Comment Latam (James Kalbermatter)
  • Trader Comment Brazil HY (Mateus Bernardo)
  • Trader Comment CEE (Mateus Bernardo)
  • Primary
  • Turkey – Credit
  • MENA – Credit
  • South Africa – Credit
  • LATAM – Credit
  • ASIA – Credit
  • Disclaimer / Important Information

Report data

Turkey – Credit — as of August 25, 2026.

MetricEstimateContext
US 10-Year Treasury Yield4.70%Yield fell supported by lower oil prices and potential Treasury buybacks.
WTI Crude Oil Price85 USD/bblFell sharply on Monday before rebounding modestly to $85.43.
PKO Green Senior Non-Preferred Issue Spread100 bps over Mid-SwapsPriced €500m 7NC6 downsized from €750m.
Vestel 5-Year Credit Spread Change+676 bpsVestel credit spread widened significantly following its consent solicitation.
Source: Bloomberg. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Emerging Markets Morning Pulse is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 25, 2026.

Part of the Emerging Markets Morning Pulse series — view all 5 editions

Looking for the latest edition? EmergingMarketsMorningPulse 20260828 en (Aug 28, 2026)

  1. Jul 21EmergingMarketsMorningPulse 20260721 en
  2. Aug 17EmergingMarketsMorningPulse 20260817 en

Document Preview

Page 1 of 5
Page 1 of Bank J. Safra Sarasin: Emerging Markets Morning Pulse (25 August 2026)
Subscribe for full access

Access the Full Report

Get unlimited access to institutional research reports. Create an account to get started.

Authors / Editors

Mischa Kratzer · TraderJames Kalbermatter · TraderMateus Bernardo · Trader

Reported Data Context

  • US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.70 % (2026-08-24)
  • WTI Crude Oil Price: 85 USD/bbl (2026-08-24)
  • PKO Green Senior Non-Preferred Issue Spread: 100 bps over Mid-Swaps (2026-08-24)
  • Vestel 5-Year Credit Spread Change: +676 bps (2026-08-25) · Source: Bloomberg

Securities

US 10-year Treasury notePKSTANPKOBRASKMVESTLNATURA

Themes

Emerging Market Fixed Income Trading FlowsEM Corporate Debt Restructuring and Consent SolicitationsSovereign Rating Upgrades and Spread Tightening

Regions

GlobalLatin AmericaMiddle EastUnited StatesTurkeyPakistan