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Apollo Global Management

Report published August 15, 2026

Tariff Refunds Are Turning into a Fiscal Expansion: Apollo Global Management Report

Source and citation context

Report date
August 15, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Apollo Chief Economist (Chief Economist)

Finvaulta summarizes Apollo Global Management's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Daily UpdateMacro Economic Indicators

US custom duty refunds are increasingly offsetting tariff receipts, effectively creating a fiscal expansion.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Tariff refunds in the United States are currently acting as an unexpected source of fiscal expansion.

Table of Contents

  • Tariff refunds are turning into a fiscal expansion

Report data

US custom duty receipts, refunds, and net receipts (US$ bn)

MetricEstimateContext
US custom duty receipts, refunds, and net receipts US$ bnTracked to show how tariff refunds are driving fiscal expansion
Source: US Department of Treasury, Macrobond, Apollo Chief Economist. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

Daily Spark is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 15, 2026.

Part of the Daily Spark series — view all 5 editions

Looking for the latest edition? dailyspark 2026 08 29 (Aug 29, 2026)

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Authors / Editors

Apollo Chief Economist · Chief Economist

Reported Data Context

  • US custom duty receipts, refunds, and net receipts: US$ bn · Source: US Department of Treasury, Macrobond, Apollo Chief Economist

Themes

Fiscal Policy and StimulusUS Trade Policy and Tariffs

Regions

North AmericaUnited States