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Report published August 28, 2026

Long-Term Interest Rate Dynamics and the Three-Day FOMC Meeting Window

Source and citation context

Report date
August 28, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Finvaulta summarizes Apollo Global Management's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt Bonds

Analysis shows that since June 1989, cumulative changes in the 10-year US Treasury yield have been overwhelmingly concentrated in the three-day window around FOMC meetings.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Historically, the secular decline and cumulative movements in 10-year US Treasury yields since June 1989 have occurred almost entirely within a three-day window surrounding FOMC meetings (day before, day of, and day after).

Table of Contents

  • For many years, long-term interest rates only moved during the three-day window around FOMC meetings

Report data

Cumulative change in 10-year US Treasury yield vs. FOMC 3-day window moves (1989–2026)

MetricEstimateContext
Cumulative change window for 10-year US Treasury yield3 daysFOMC meeting window (day before, day of, day after) accounting for nearly all cumulative yield changes.
Source: FRED (DGS10), Hillenbrand (2024), Federal Reserve. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

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Reported Data Context

  • Cumulative change window for 10-year US Treasury yield: 3 days (1989-06 to 2026) · Source: FRED (DGS10), Hillenbrand (2024), Federal Reserve

Securities

US 10-year Treasury yield

Themes

Monetary Policy Impact on Long-Term YieldsSecular Decline in Interest Rates

Regions

North AmericaUnited States