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Report published August 30, 2026

Opportunity Lost? Gained? Squandered? – Academy Securities Macro Strategy

Source and citation context

Report date
August 30, 2026
Analysis as of
Not stated in source

Authors / editors: Peter Tchir

Finvaulta summarizes Academy Securities's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Weekly UpdateRates Govt BondsRates CreditEquitiesEnergyInformation Technology

Peter Tchir reviews macro developments across fixed income, geopolitics, and global trade, finding Fed communication uninspiring while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East moderate slightly. He advocates remaining overweight global energy equities, adding to front-end Treasuries, and holding unhedged compute corporate credit.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Energy sector remains a high-conviction global overweight (XLE up 42% YTD) despite easing oil market pressures due to increasing demand for energy infrastructure and refined products.
  • 2.In fixed income, favor owning unhedged 'compute' bonds on a yield basis and adding to the front end of the Treasury curve, while the Treasury bear steepener likely has more room to run.
  • 3.Protection and security ('ProSec™') trends are going global, highlighting the critical national security importance of domestic/allied processing, refining, and smelting over raw extraction.

Table of Contents

  • Opportunity Lost? Gained? Squandered?
  • Opportunities Lost?
  • Opportunities Gained?
  • Opportunities Squandered?
  • Bottom Line
  • Disclaimer

Report data

LNG exports comparison (US vs Canada)

MetricEstimateContext
XLE ETF Performance42.0%Performance of energy companies cited as justification for maintaining an overweight stance.

Reports in this series

Macro Strategy is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on August 30, 2026.

Part of the Macro Strategy series — view all 3 editions

Looking for the latest edition? Never Forgotten! And Some Work Stuff (Sep 13, 2026)

  1. Aug 16Warshs Mark Antony Moment

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Authors / Editors

Peter Tchir

Reported Data Context

  • XLE ETF Performance: 42.0 % (YTD 2026)

Securities

XLEUS 2-Year Treasury NoteUS 30-Year Treasury Bond

Themes

Compute Infrastructure Buildout and Debt IssuanceEnergy Transition vs. Midstream/Downstream RealitiesProSec™ (Protection and Security Supply Chains)

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesCanadaIran